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Growth dynamics analysis of cauliflower in Himachal Pradesh (Record no. 131798)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02051nam a2200121 4500
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 250624b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lalenpuii
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Growth dynamics analysis of cauliflower in Himachal Pradesh
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. biblio.abstract India, one of the top producers of cauliflower (Brassica<br/>oleracea var. botrytis) has made a significant contribution to the agricultural, nutritional and commercial<br/>value. The present study examines the growth dynamics of cauliflower production, pricing, productivity<br/>and area in the state of Himachal Pradesh. It focuses<br/>on the Solan district for data on pricing, productivity<br/>and output from 2003 to 2020, and on area, production<br/>and productivity from 1995 to 2020. The study projects<br/>future scenarios and analyses previous trends using<br/>statistical tools, such as seasonal indices, decomposition analysis, Cuddy–Della Valle Index (CDVI), compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and autoregressive<br/>integrated moving average (ARIMA) modelling. Results indicate that the growth rate in production<br/>(8.77%) surpassed the growth in area (6.48%), whereas productivity growth stood at 7%. Despite fluctuations, cauliflower cultivation remains relatively stable,<br/>with area expansion being the primary driver of production growth. The optimal ARIMA models for forecasting area, production and productivity were<br/>identified as ARIMA (0, 2, 1), ARIMA (2, 2, 2) and<br/>ARIMA (2, 2, 1) respectively, suggesting an increasing<br/>trend in area and productivity, whereas production is<br/>projected to decline. Price growth rates ranged from<br/>4.45% to 7.51%, exhibiting low variation, and seasonal<br/>indices revealed higher off-season variability compared<br/>to peak season. The selected ARIMA model for price<br/>forecasting is ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (0, 1, 2) with drift. These<br/>insights provide valuable information for policymakers<br/>and stakeholders in the cauliflower market.
654 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--FACETED TOPICAL TERMS
Subject <a href="ARIMA">ARIMA</a>
-- <a href="seasonal indices">seasonal indices</a>
-- <a href="forecasting">forecasting</a>
-- <a href="decomposition analysis">decomposition analysis</a>
-- <a href="cauliflower">cauliflower</a>
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Host Biblionumber 125299
Host Itemnumber 112523
Title Current Science
International Standard Serial Number 0011-3891
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Journal Article
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Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Location (home branch) Sublocation or collection (holding branch) Date acquired Koha issues (times borrowed) Piece designation (barcode) Koha date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     SNDT Juhu SNDT Juhu 24/06/2025   JP671.3 24/06/2025 24/06/2025 Journal Article