M. N. Thimmegowda <br/><br/>
Deliberations on the applicability of IMD’s medium range weather forecasts for their usability in Agromet Advisory Services for the farmers of South Interior Karnataka, India 

 - pp70-77 
<br/><br/> Climate risk management in rainfed regions entails<br/>forecasting, impact assessment and relief planning,<br/>with emphasis on timely forecast dissemination and<br/>accurate loss estimation. Under the Gramin Krishi<br/>Mausam Sewa initiative, the India Meteorological<br/>Department issues agro-meteorological advisories,<br/>evaluated using qualitative, quantitative and statistical methods. In the present study on South Interior Karnataka, the forecast accuracy was higher<br/>for temperature (75–79%) than for wind speed and<br/>rainfall. Ramanagara showed the best rainfall forecast performance. Statistical tests (Hanssen–Kuipers,<br/>Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Anderson–Darling) revealed<br/>spatial variability, influenced by orography. Taylor<br/>diagram analysis confirmed good agreement between observed and forecasted temperatures (0.7–0.8<br/>for maximum temperature, 0.6–0.7 for minimum<br/>temperature), indicating reliable temperature forecasts. 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Facted Index Terms: </label><br/>Agromet Advisory<br/>climate risk<br/>management, forecasts<br/>South Interior Karnataka