000			01514nam a2200145 4500
008			250825b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100			_aM. N. Thimmegowda
245			_aDeliberations on the applicability of IMD’s medium range weather forecasts for their usability in Agromet Advisory Services for the farmers of South Interior Karnataka, India
300			_app70-77
520			_aClimate risk management in rainfed regions entails forecasting, impact assessment and relief planning, with emphasis on timely forecast dissemination and accurate loss estimation. Under the Gramin Krishi Mausam Sewa initiative, the India Meteorological Department issues agro-meteorological advisories, evaluated using qualitative, quantitative and statistical methods. In the present study on South Interior Karnataka, the forecast accuracy was higher for temperature (75–79%) than for wind speed and rainfall. Ramanagara showed the best rainfall forecast performance. Statistical tests (Hanssen–Kuipers, Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Anderson–Darling) revealed spatial variability, influenced by orography. Taylor diagram analysis confirmed good agreement between observed and forecasted temperatures (0.7–0.8 for maximum temperature, 0.6–0.7 for minimum temperature), indicating reliable temperature forecasts.
654			_aAgromet Advisory _aclimate risk _amanagement, forecasts _aSouth Interior Karnataka
700			_aM. H. Manjunatha
773	0		_0125299 _9113439 _tCurrent Science _x 0011-3891
942			_cJA
999			_c132575 _d132575